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Trump’s 2025 Tariff Strategy: What’s Next for Mexico Manufacturing
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As of March 25, 2025, manufacturers operating in or trading with Mexico are watching closely as the Trump administration prepares for a second wave of tariffs. Set to go into effect on April 2,
these tariffs follow the broader trade actions launched earlier this year that have already placed a 25% tariff on a wide range of goods imported from Mexico and Canada.
President Donald Trump has framed the tariffs as a necessary response to what he describes as Mexico’s failure to prevent fentanyl and illegal immigration from reaching the United States — key issues at the core of his reelection campaign.
“If a country makes cars and sells them into our country and we get nothing, we get no tax and they get massive tax when we send them the other way, or they don’t take them, that’s not fair,” Trump said during a campaign stop in Michigan, referencing the concept of "reciprocal tariffs."
Targeted Tariffs Coming April 2
According to Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, the upcoming tariffs will adopt a more surgical approach:
“The reciprocal tariffs will target about 15% of the countries the administration considers trade abusers.”
While exact product categories remain unclear, industries such as automotive, electronics, and food processing are on high alert.
For now, auto imports compliant with the USMCA agreement are temporarily exempt, but that exemption ends April 2 — unless another delay or policy revision is issued.
Market & Industry Reactions
The market responded positively to news that the April 2 tariffs might be narrower than originally expected. The Dow Jones surged over 600 points on Monday, March 25, as Wall Street welcomed the possibility of a more restrained approach. Yet, many manufacturers remain cautious.
Insurance experts have warned that the cost of car ownership in the U.S. could rise if Mexican-made parts and vehicles are taxed further. Similarly, companies like LG Electronics are now reassessing their global manufacturing footprints to mitigate supply chain disruptions.
Meanwhile, Pemex, Mexico’s state-run oil company, is reportedly looking to diversify its export markets to reduce reliance on U.S. demand, signaling broader strategic shifts in response to U.S. policy uncertainty.
What It Means for Manufacturers in Mexico
For companies manufacturing in Mexico, especially those exporting to the U.S., this evolving situation highlights the importance of compliance with USMCA rules of origin, as well as the need to explore tariff mitigation strategies such as:
- Shelter Services in Mexico to reduce risk exposure
- Restructuring supply chains to minimize U.S. duty impact
- Leveraging programs like IMMEX and VAT Certification to remain cost competitive
Stay Ahead of Policy Shifts
ϳԹ, we closely monitor policy changes that impact North American manufacturing. With over four decades of experience helping companies navigate trade, compliance, and site selection in Mexico, we are your trusted partner in uncertain times.
Contact us today to evaluate how these tariffs may affect your operations — and how you can safeguard your business moving forward.